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Output Gaps. Some evidence from the UK, France and Germany

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  • Ray Barrell
  • James Sefton

Abstract

As the UK economy recovers from the recent recession, there is again widespread concern at the re-emergence of the spectre of inflation. Recent increases in base rates were primarily aimed at reassuring markets that inflation will be controlled. It is therefore of use to be able to calculate whether or not inflationary pressures are liable to re-emerge in the near future. Our macroeconomic, model based, forecast on page 8 of this Review is one way that this could be done. This note investigates a number of other approaches.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Ray Barrell & James Sefton, 1995. "Output Gaps. Some evidence from the UK, France and Germany," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 151(1), pages 65-73, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:niesru:v:151:y:1995:i:1:p:65-73
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    Cited by:

    1. Odile Chagny & Jörg Döpke, 2001. "Measures of the Output Gap in the Euro-Zone: An Empirical Assessment of Selected Methods," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(3), pages 310-332.
    2. Andersen, Kaare Guttorm & Männistö, Hanna-Leena, 1995. "Output gaps and the government budget balance: The case of Finland," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 27/1995, Bank of Finland.
    3. Charles Harvie & Hyeon‐Seung Huh, 2009. "A New Measure Of Us Potential Output, Inflation Forecasts, And Monetary Policy Rules," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 77(5), pages 611-631, September.
    4. Stefan Papaioannou & Kei-Mu Yi, 2001. "The effects of a booming economy on the U.S. trade deficit," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 7(Feb).

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