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ASEAN3+India Trade Relations

Author

Listed:
  • Tran Van Hoa

    (Tran Van Hoa is Professor and Director, Vietnam and ASEAN Plus Research Program, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies,Victoria University,Australia; e-mail: jimmy.tran@vu.edu.au)

Abstract

World leaders at the First East Asia Summit in Kuala Lumpur in 2005 endorsed high-level studies and dialogues on an enlarged ASEAN free trade agreement to promote regional cooperation for mutual economic and political benefits between the ASEAN and the world's other trading blocs. The endorsement is consistent with India's contemporary reforms, with its ‘Look East’ policy and economic diplomacy. In spite of this important development, only limited research has been carried out or reported for informed discussions and policy analysis in the particular case of ASEAN3+India. This paper is a substantive evidence-based study of India's reforms, ‘Look East’ policy, economic diplomacy, and East Asia Summit trade and cooperation issues. It uses the recently developed award-winning generalised gravity theory (see Tran Van Hoa 2004) to construct an ASEAN3+India model of growth and endogenous trade. Using historical data from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Reserve Bank of India and Japan's ICSEAD, the paper provides substantive findings on the causal impact of ASEAN3+India trade in goods, FDI and services, and post-1991 reforms on economic growth for more credible policy analysis in the sense of Kydland (2006). Implications of the findings for India's engagement with Asia are also discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Tran Van Hoa, 2007. "ASEAN3+India Trade Relations," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 1(4), pages 341-357, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:mareco:v:1:y:2007:i:4:p:341-357
    DOI: 10.1177/097380100700100401
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Advanced Econometric Modelling and Forecasts; ASEAN3+India Trade and Investment; ASEAN Plus; Development and Growth; Economic and Trade Policy; Regional Trade Agreements; JEL Classification: C51; C53; F13; F15; F21;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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