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Economic consequences of failed autonomous adaptation to extreme floods: A case study from Bangladesh

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  • Md Aboul Fazal Younus
  • Nick Harvey

Abstract

This paper focuses on ‘autonomous adaptation’ and has one aim. It assesses the economic consequences of the failure effects of autonomous adaptation in response to extreme flood events. The study found that Bangladeshi farmers are highly resilient to extreme flood events, but the economic consequences of failure effects of autonomous crop adaptation on marginal farmers are large. The failure effects are defined as total input costs plus the small profit (otherwise) made from selling the small surplus remaining from subsistence needs. The total input costs increase with the number of flood events in the studied area. Total agricultural cost includes cost of seedlings, fertilizer, pesticides, land preparation, human labour and watering. The paper concludes that the economic loss accelerates food insecurity and could ultimately lead to human insecurity in Bangladesh, which could be exacerbated by the effects of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Md Aboul Fazal Younus & Nick Harvey, 2014. "Economic consequences of failed autonomous adaptation to extreme floods: A case study from Bangladesh," Local Economy, London South Bank University, vol. 29(1-2), pages 22-37, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:loceco:v:29:y:2014:i:1-2:p:22-37
    DOI: 10.1177/0269094213515175
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Parry & Nigel Arnell & Mike Hulme & Robert Nicholls & Matthew Livermore, 1998. "Adapting to the inevitable," Nature, Nature, vol. 395(6704), pages 741-741, October.
    2. Robert Kates, 2000. "Cautionary Tales: Adaptation and the Global Poor," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 5-17, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Md Aboul Fazal Younus, 2017. "An assessment of vulnerability and adaptation to cyclones through impact assessment guidelines: a bottom-up case study from Bangladesh coast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1437-1459, December.
    2. Isaure Delaporte & Mathilde Maurel, 2018. "Adaptation to climate change in Bangladesh," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 49-62, January.
    3. Yannan Zhao & Jie Fan & Bo Liang & Lu Zhang, 2019. "Evaluation of Sustainable Livelihoods in the Context of Disaster Vulnerability: A Case Study of Shenzha County in Tibet, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, May.
    4. Md Aboul Fazal Younus & Md Alamgir Kabir, 2018. "Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation of Bangladesh: Mechanisms, Notions and Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.

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