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Can Rebels Bolster Trust in the Government? Evidence from the Philippines

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  • Jori Breslawski

Abstract

Commitment problems make civil wars difficult to end. Research on overcoming commitment problems focuses on warring parties, however civilians’ perceptions are central to successful transitions from war to peace. While civilians residing in areas previously controlled by armed groups may be highly distrustful that governments will implement peace agreements, I argue that some armed groups are both motivated and capable of improving trust in the state. Using survey data from civilians in the Bangsamoro, Philippines, I show that civilians that experienced rebel security provision or rebel justice provision from the MILF are more likely to trust that the Government of the Philippines will fully implement the peace agreement than civilians that did not experience rebel governance provision.

Suggested Citation

  • Jori Breslawski, 2023. "Can Rebels Bolster Trust in the Government? Evidence from the Philippines," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 67(4), pages 728-751, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:67:y:2023:i:4:p:728-751
    DOI: 10.1177/00220027221123319
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    References listed on IDEAS

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