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Worlds Apart: Conflict Exposure and Preferences for Peace

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  • Juan Fernando Tellez

Abstract

Life on the frontlines of a civil war is markedly different from life in safe(r) areas. How does this drastic difference in lived experience shape civilian attitudes toward war and peace? Contrary to theories that link conflict exposure to intransigence, I argue that under certain conditions, exposure increases support for both peace as an outcome and the granting of concessions to armed actors who render settlement more likely. I use various model specifications and matching methodology on survey data from the Colombian peace process, finding strong evidence that civilians in conflict zones exhibit greater support for the peace process overall and are more willing to grant political concessions to armed groups. Mixed evidence further suggests that exposed civilians are less willing to reintegrate with demobilized fighters. The study has theoretical implications for accounts of conflict exposure and helps explain regional variation in the failed referendum vote in Colombia.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Fernando Tellez, 2019. "Worlds Apart: Conflict Exposure and Preferences for Peace," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(4), pages 1053-1076, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:63:y:2019:i:4:p:1053-1076
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002718775825
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kristin Fabbe & Chad Hazlett & Tolga Sinmazdemir, 2024. "Threat perceptions, loyalties and attitudes towards peace: The effects of civilian victimization among Syrian refugees in Turkey," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(3), pages 263-288, May.
    2. Tellez,Juan Fernando & Balcells,Laia, 2022. "Social Cohesion, Economic Security, and Forced Displacement in the Long-Run : Evidence from Rural Colombia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10019, The World Bank.
    3. Unfried, Kerstin & Ibañez Diaz, Marcela & Restrepo-Plazaz, Lina Maria, 2022. "Discrimination in post-conflict settings: Experimental evidence from Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).

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