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Funerals and Elections: The Effects of Terrorism on Voting Behavior in Turkey

Author

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  • Arzu Kibris

    (Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey, arzukibris@sabanciuniv.edu)

Abstract

This article empirically analyzes the effects of terrorism on the electoral choices of the Turkish voters in the 1991 and 1995 general elections. It relies on a unique data set that includes the date and the place of burial of Turkish soldiers and police officers who died in the fight against the terrorist organization PKK. The author uses the number of these security force terror casualties at the district level as a measure of the level of terrorism that the people of that district have been exposed to and analyzes whether and how exposure to terrorism affects people’s electoral choices. The results indicate that Turkish voters are highly sensitive to terrorism and that they blame the government for their losses. Moreover, exposure to terrorism leads to an increase in the vote share of the right-wing parties who are less concessionist toward the terrorist organization’s cause compared to their left-wing counterparts.

Suggested Citation

  • Arzu Kibris, 2011. "Funerals and Elections: The Effects of Terrorism on Voting Behavior in Turkey," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 55(2), pages 220-247, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:55:y:2011:i:2:p:220-247
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abel Brodeur, 2018. "The Effect of Terrorism on Employment and Consumer Sentiment: Evidence from Successful and Failed Terror Attacks," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 246-282, October.
    2. Morales, Juan S., 2021. "Legislating during war: Conflict and politics in Colombia," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    3. Lance Y. Hunter & Joseph W. Robbins & Martha H. Ginn & Aaron Hutton, 2019. "Meet in the Middle: Terrorism and Centrist Party Vote Shares in Legislative Elections," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 10(1), pages 60-74, February.
    4. Elster, Yael, 2019. "Rockets and votes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 767-784.
    5. Max Abrahms & Luis Alfonso Dau & Elizabeth M Moore, 2019. "Terrorism and corporate social responsibility: Testing the impact of attacks on CSR behavior," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 2(3), pages 237-257, September.
    6. Jorge Gallego, 2016. "Civil Conflict and Voting Behavior: Evidence," Documentos de Trabajo 15162, Universidad del Rosario.
    7. Alex Braithwaite & Tiffany S. Chu & Justin Curtis & Faten Ghosn, 2019. "Violence and the perception of risk associated with hosting refugees," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 178(3), pages 473-492, March.

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