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Modeling Urban Decline: A Multilevel Economic-Demographic Model for the Dortmund Region

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  • Michael Wegener

    (Institut fur Raumplanung, Universitfit Dortmund, D-4600 Dortmund 50 Federal Republic of Germany)

Abstract

Selected results of a multilevel dynamic simulation model of the economic and demographic development of the urban region of Dortmund are presented. In particular, the capability of the model to capture both urban growth and urban decline processes is illustrated. The mechanisms that control spatial growth, decline, or redistribution of activities in the model are first outlined, and a demonstration of how the model reproduces the general pattern of past spatial development follows. Finally, results of simulations covering a wide range of potential overall economic and demographic development in the region are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Wegener, 1982. "Modeling Urban Decline: A Multilevel Economic-Demographic Model for the Dortmund Region," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 7(2), pages 217-241, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:7:y:1982:i:2:p:217-241
    DOI: 10.1177/016001768200700207
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    Cited by:

    1. Kii, Masanobu & Nakanishi, Hitomi & Nakamura, Kazuki & Doi, Kenji, 2016. "Transportation and spatial development: An overview and a future direction," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 148-158.
    2. Felsenstein, Daniel & Axhausen, Kay & Waddell, Paul, 2010. "Land use-transportation modeling with UrbanSim: Experiences and progress," The Journal of Transport and Land Use, Center for Transportation Studies, University of Minnesota, vol. 3(2), pages 1-3.
    3. Michael Wegener & Franz Fuerst, 2004. "Land-Use Transport Interaction: State of the Art," Urban/Regional 0409005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Michael Wegener, 2011. "Transport in Spatial Models of Economic Development," Chapters, in: André de Palma & Robin Lindsey & Emile Quinet & Roger Vickerman (ed.), A Handbook of Transport Economics, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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