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A Cellular Automata Intraurban Model with Prices and Income-Dif Erentiated Actors

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  • Bernardo Alves Furtado

    (Institute of Applied Economic Research, IPEA, SBS Quadra 1, Bl. J., Edifício BNDES, sala 319, 70076-900, Brasília-DF, Brazil; Centre for Regional Development and Planning (CEDEPLAR) at Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil; Urban and Regional Research Centre Utrecht (URU) at University of Utrecht)

  • Dick Ettema

    (Urban and Regional Research Centre Utrecht (URU), University of Utrecht, PO Box 80115, Utrecht 3508 TC, The Netherlands)

  • Ricardo Machado Ruiz

    (Centre for Regional Development and Planning, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Avenida Antônio Carlos, 6627, sala 3032-Camus Pampulha CEP: 31270-901 Belo Horizonte-MG, Brazil)

  • Jelle Hurkens
  • Hedwig van Delden

Abstract

This paper presents an intraurban cellular automata model that is an extension to White and Engelen's pioneering model. The paper's main contribution is to distinguish between agglomerative effects, determined by the attraction of the neighbourhood, and disagglomerative effects, driven by land prices, or land affordability. In order to do that, social heterogeneity is introduced in the model at the intraurban level. As a result, we can simulate both the evolution of land use and land prices. An application of the model and a sensitivity analysis indicate that neighborhood influence is the main driving force of cities' spatial configurations. Prices, however, exert an important countereffect. Actually, the higher the influence of land prices, the faster land succession is observed. Finally, an important conclusion of the model is that intraurban models should not fail to differentiate actors by income level.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernardo Alves Furtado & Dick Ettema & Ricardo Machado Ruiz & Jelle Hurkens & Hedwig van Delden, 2012. "A Cellular Automata Intraurban Model with Prices and Income-Dif Erentiated Actors," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 39(5), pages 897-924, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:39:y:2012:i:5:p:897-924
    DOI: 10.1068/b37134
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    References listed on IDEAS

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