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The Evaluation of an Empiric Model for an Urban Area

Author

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  • E B Stokes

    (Management Systems Development Department, The City of Calgary, PO Box 100, Calgary, Alberta, Canada, T2P 2M5)

Abstract

A version of the Empiric model for an urban area is evaluated by examining its forecasting ability and the customary assumption that its parameters will remain constant over time. The model's forecasting ability is found to be quite poor and the assumption of parameter constancy is found to be invalid. The analysis casts grave doubts on the model's usefulness as an urban forecasting technique.

Suggested Citation

  • E B Stokes, 1974. "The Evaluation of an Empiric Model for an Urban Area," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 6(6), pages 703-715, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:6:y:1974:i:6:p:703-715
    DOI: 10.1068/a060703
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