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The Impact of Spatial Clustering of Transport Infrastructure on Risk

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  • Nils Rosmuller

    (Netherlands Institute for Fire Service and Disaster Management, PO Box 7010, 6801 HA, Arnhem, The Netherlands and Faculty of Systems Engineering, Policy Analysis and Management, Delft University of Technology, PO Box 5015, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands)

  • Rob E C M van der Heijden

    (Nijmegen School of Management, Nijmegen University, PO Box 9108, 6500 HK Nijmegen, The Netherlands and Faculty of Systems Engineering, Policy Analysis and Management, Delft University of Technology, PO Box 5015, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands)

Abstract

The hypothesis has been formulated that spatial clustering of transport line infrastructures might generate higher risks in terms of higher probability of accidents and/or more severe consequences of accidents. The risk increase is assumed to be the result of interference between transport flows. No systematic research has been performed so far to test this hypothesis. This paper therefore presents the results of an empirical study on this subject based on accident data from the Netherlands. It is concluded that clustering of infrastructures has not caused a higher probability of accidents in the past. However, impacts of accidents in terms of the number of casualties are significantly more severe. This generates new discussions on the spatial planning of infrastructures on the one hand and the organisation of emergency response capabilities on the other.

Suggested Citation

  • Nils Rosmuller & Rob E C M van der Heijden, 2002. "The Impact of Spatial Clustering of Transport Infrastructure on Risk," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 34(12), pages 2193-2210, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:2193-2210
    DOI: 10.1068/a3578
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