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Spatial-Dynamic Population Systems: Analysis and Projection

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  • J Shen

    (Department of Geography, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, England)

Abstract

In this paper a set of more-detailed multiregional population accounts is proposed to specify more realistically the exposure time of populations at risk for various components of population change. The concepts of population-time at risk and forward demographic rates based on the initial population are discussed. The relations of the forward demographic rates defined in this paper with the occurrence-exposure demographic rates are discussed. A more precise and straightforward multiregional population model is developed on the basis of forward demographic rates. The model is also expressed in the familiar matrix form of multiregional, cohort-survival models.

Suggested Citation

  • J Shen, 1994. "Spatial-Dynamic Population Systems: Analysis and Projection," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 26(3), pages 471-488, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:26:y:1994:i:3:p:471-488
    DOI: 10.1068/a260471
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