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The Wax and Wane of Interstate Migration Patterns in the USA in the 1980s: A Demographic Effectiveness Field Perspective

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  • D A Plane

    (Department of Geography and Regional Development, University of Arizona, Harvill Building, Box 2, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA)

Abstract

Demographic effectiveness (or efficiency) is a measure of the unidirectionality of migration to and from geographic areas. This author explores the structure of temporal change in the demographic effectiveness of migration in the United States during the 1980s. The analysis is based on a times series of (51×51) matrices of state-to-state movements derived from matched income tax forms. A number of hypotheses are explored about how in-migration and out-migration fields wax and wane, thereby giving rise to the overall shifts in demographic effectiveness measured over the period. The results highlight the characteristics of recent (1980–88) shifts in US internal migration patterns including net migration reversals from strong net in-migration to strong net out-migration for states with significant energy sectors, the stanching of net out-migration from many states of the American manufacturing belt, the turnaround to net in-migration for all of northern New England, and the continuance of highly effective net in-migration to the sunbelt states of Florida, Arizona, and Nevada.

Suggested Citation

  • D A Plane, 1994. "The Wax and Wane of Interstate Migration Patterns in the USA in the 1980s: A Demographic Effectiveness Field Perspective," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 26(10), pages 1545-1561, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:26:y:1994:i:10:p:1545-1561
    DOI: 10.1068/a261545
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    Cited by:

    1. Martin Bell & Dominic Brown, 2014. "Analysing spatial interactions: inter-regional migration flows," Chapters, in: Robert Stimson (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Spatially Integrated Social Science, chapter 19, pages 403-435, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Thomas B. Foster & Mark J. Ellis & Lee Fiorio, 2018. "Foreign-born and native-born migration in the U.S.: evidence from linked IRS administrative and census survey records," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 467-498, December.

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