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Modelling Sequential Choice Processes: The Case of Two-Stop Trip Chaining

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  • H Timmermans
  • P van der Waerden

Abstract

Traditional decompositional preferences and choice studies are focused on the prediction of single choices, such as choice of shopping centre or transport mode. Discrete choice experiments are used to derive choice models that predict the probability of choosing a choice alternative as a function of its attributes. In this paper these traditional models are extended by addressing the problem of sequential choice behaviour. It is demonstrated how discrete choice experiments and universal logit models may be used to predict a choice sequence. The approach is illustrated for the problem of trip chaining. The research findings support the suggested approach.

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  • H Timmermans & P van der Waerden, 1992. "Modelling Sequential Choice Processes: The Case of Two-Stop Trip Chaining," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(10), pages 1483-1490, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:24:y:1992:i:10:p:1483-1490
    DOI: 10.1068/a241483
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Timmermans, Harry & Borgers, Aloys & van der Waerden, Peter, 1992. "Mother logit analysis of substitution effects in consumer shopping destination choice," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 177-189, March.
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