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Inconsistency of Modeled and Observed Tropical Temperature Trends

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  • S. Fred Singer

    (University of Virginia and Science & Environmental Policy Project, Arlington, VA 22202)

Abstract

Consistency or lack thereof between observed temperature trends and those predicted by Global Circulation Models (GCMs) are a contentious though important issue. The lack of consistency between observed and modeled temperature trends has frequently been used to argue against a significant human contribution to global warming – and vice versa. We present here additional and independent evidence that there is no agreement between observed and modeled warming trends in the tropical troposphere during the last two decades of the 20 th century. This finding is shown to put constraints on surface trend and Climate Sensitivity, limiting them to values close to zero.

Suggested Citation

  • S. Fred Singer, 2013. "Inconsistency of Modeled and Observed Tropical Temperature Trends," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(3-4), pages 405-413, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:24:y:2013:i:3-4:p:405-413
    DOI: 10.1260/0958-305X.24.3-4.405
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