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The Influence of Climate Change on Energy Production & Heating Energy Demand in Finland

Author

Listed:
  • Ari Venäläinen
  • Bengt Tammelin
  • Heikki Tuomenvirta
  • Kirsti Jylhä
  • Jarkko Koskela
  • Merja A. Turunen
  • Bertel Vehviläinen
  • John Forsius
  • Pekka Järvinen

Abstract

In this study we have examined how the anticipated anthropogenic climate change will affect the heating power demand of buildings, hydropower production, the climatological potential of peat production, bioenergy, and wind energy. The study concentrates on conditions in Finland and the future period studied was 2021–2050. The future climate conditions were primarily taken from simulations by the Hadley Centre's global climate model, HadCM3. According to the climate scenarios used in this study, the heating energy demand for the period 2021–2050 will decrease on average by some 10 % from the period 1961–1990. At the same time hydropower production will increase by 7–11 %, the climatological potential of peat production by 17–24 %, the climatological potential of biomass (mainly wood) by 10–15 % and the climatological potential of wind power by 2–10 %. These results must still be considered as preliminary, mainly because there are still large uncertainties related to the estimation of the magnitude of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Ari Venäläinen & Bengt Tammelin & Heikki Tuomenvirta & Kirsti Jylhä & Jarkko Koskela & Merja A. Turunen & Bertel Vehviläinen & John Forsius & Pekka Järvinen, 2004. "The Influence of Climate Change on Energy Production & Heating Energy Demand in Finland," Energy & Environment, , vol. 15(1), pages 93-109, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:15:y:2004:i:1:p:93-109
    DOI: 10.1260/095830504322986529
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed, T. & Muttaqi, K.M. & Agalgaonkar, A.P., 2012. "Climate change impacts on electricity demand in the State of New South Wales, Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 376-383.
    2. Schlott, Markus & Kies, Alexander & Brown, Tom & Schramm, Stefan & Greiner, Martin, 2018. "The impact of climate change on a cost-optimal highly renewable European electricity network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 1645-1659.

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