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The World Oil Market: Past and Future

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  • M.A. Adelman

Abstract

Private owners of world oil resources eventually failed to restrain abundance and keep an above-competitive price. The OPEC nations had far greater market power, but overestimated it. Short time horizons drove OPEC nations to raise the price too much. They retreated to a more tenable level. But like all cartels, they find it hard to reconcile group welfare with short-run individual interest. Oil continues abundant, so far. The main obstacles to non-cartel expansion are man-made such as taxation and state companies. They are very slowly yielding. Depending on how fast they erode, world supply will grow, and price pressure will be downward.

Suggested Citation

  • M.A. Adelman, 1994. "The World Oil Market: Past and Future," The Energy Journal, , vol. 15(1_suppl), pages 3-11, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:15:y:1994:i:1_suppl:p:3-11
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol15-NoSI-2
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