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Sino-Soviet Relations: What Next?

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  • ALLEN S. WHITING

Abstract

China's three demands for normalization of Sino-Soviet relations are not likely to win Soviet compliance. Only a modest reduction of the 480,000 Soviet troops opposite China is possible, but not removal of the 125 SS-20 missiles and 60 Backfire bombers, which have regional and global strategic significance. No Soviet concessions on Afghanistan or Vietnam-Kampuchea are expected. Ideology is no longer an issue between Moscow and Beijing as during Mao's time, but conflicts in national interest deadlock negotiations. Meanwhile, increased Sino-Soviet trade and travel reflect improved state relations. A further improvement could serve U.S. interests in Korea, Indochina, and arms control without jeopardizing U.S. and allied security interests elsewhere. Sino-Soviet relations are, however, basically independent of American influence and should not determine Sino-American relations.

Suggested Citation

  • Allen S. Whiting, 1984. "Sino-Soviet Relations: What Next?," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 476(1), pages 142-155, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:anname:v:476:y:1984:i:1:p:142-155
    DOI: 10.1177/0002716284476001011
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