IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rsk/journ4/2161197.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sequential defaults and incomplete information

Author

Listed:
  • Kay Giesecke, Lisa R. Goldberg

Abstract

ABSTRACT We propose a multi-firm first-passage credit model in which investors have incomplete information. In this model, investors observe neither a firm’s value nor its default barrier. The model takes into account the short-term risk inherent in default events, the market-wide impact of defaults on security prices due to counterparty relations among firms, and the cyclical default dependence effects observed in credit markets. We explicitly calculate the pricing trend and the arrival intensity of the kth-to-default. These results furnish (1) tractable reducedform formulae for arrival probabilities of sequential dependent defaults and prices of multi-name credit derivatives, and (2) an algorithm for the simulation of sequential unpredictable default times.

Suggested Citation

Handle: RePEc:rsk:journ4:2161197
as

Download full text from publisher

File URL: https://www.risk.net/system/files/import/protected/digital_assets/10158/Sequential_defaults_and_incomplete_information.pdf
Download Restriction: no
---><---

More about this item

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rsk:journ4:2161197. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thomas Paine (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.risk.net/journal-of-risk .

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.