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The impact of loan-to-value on the default rate of residential mortgage-backed securities

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Listed:
  • Luis Otero González
  • Pablo Durán Santomil
  • Milagros Vivel Búa
  • Rubén Lado Sestayo

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper analyzes the validity of using the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio to explain the;behavior of mortgage borrowers at an empirical level. To perform this analysis we use;data for mortgage loan portfolios securitized in Spain during the period 2005-8. In;the regression models developed, we find that higher initial LTV ratios are associated;with greater default risk. The relation between the probability of default and LTV;seems to be nonlinear, and a sharp increase is seen for values greater than 80%.;Our findings confirm the adequacy of the new Basel III proposal that sets nonlinear;capital requirement levels for banks holding residential mortgage loans at different;LTV ratios. However, the significance shown in the regression models estimated with;the "seasoning" variable could be considered in order to improve the models used to;measure capital requirements.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Otero González & Pablo Durán Santomil & Milagros Vivel Búa & Rubén Lado Sestayo, . "The impact of loan-to-value on the default rate of residential mortgage-backed securities," Journal of Credit Risk, Journal of Credit Risk.
  • Handle: RePEc:rsk:journ1:2465626
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