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An Econometric Analysis of the Employment and Revenue Effects of the Treu Reform in the Period 1997-2001

Author

Listed:
  • Silvia Fedeli
  • Francesco Forte
  • Ernesto Zangari

Abstract

An employment package (EP), reducing the social security taxes (SC) and increasing labour flexibility, was introduced in Italy by the centre-left Government in 1997. We show econometrically that EP had positive effect also on the SC revenue. Using time series techniques, with data 1980-1996, we estimate a model of labour market implicitly based on the old SC regime and assess the hypothetical level of employment without EP for 1997-2001. We, thus, determine the difference between the actual SC-revenues and SC-revenues without EP. This difference results positive and increasing through time, showing a peculiar Laffer effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Silvia Fedeli & Francesco Forte & Ernesto Zangari, 2008. "An Econometric Analysis of the Employment and Revenue Effects of the Treu Reform in the Period 1997-2001," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 98(1), pages 215-248, January-F.
    • Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:98:y:2008:i:1:p:215-248
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    Cited by:

    1. Silvia Fedeli, 2017. "Taxation and Laffer Effects on Employment and Growth," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 23(1), pages 1-7, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H27 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Other Sources of Revenue

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