Modeling of multi-criteria evaluation of social, ecological and economic conditions and development of a territory[Моделирование Многокритериальной Оценки Социо-Эколого-Экономического Состояния И Динамики Территории]

Problem statement. Evaluation of condition and development of a territory is an inseparable part of research in the field of economics and management. The existing methodology implies many different approaches, however most of them are based on processing and interpretation of open to public statistical data. Such source of information is not always reliable, which results in false evaluations and judgments. It is important to search for the suitable methods to assess a territory in case of lack of statistical data or doubt in its accuracy. The research goal is to introduce a new, up-to-date methodology for a complex multi-criteria evaluation of social ecological and economic situation and development of a territory. Methodological foundation. The conceptual basis for this research is the argument that it is possible to evaluate the conditions and development of a territory on the basis of sociological survey. People’s opinion about the territory helps to reveal the prerequisites of their future economically relevant behavior, whether it is moving away to another place or investing in the territory. From the point of view of economic research, people’s opinion might be more relevant than records. The trust in people’s views as a source of information is higher than in open to public statistical data. Methods of research. A computational model has been developed in order to update the methodology of evaluation. It is based on an algorithm of integral estimation of an economic entity worked out by P.V. Trusov. The results of the use of this model are visualized with the help of Microsoft Excel following the method proposed by S.S. Gordeev and A.V. Kocherov. Research materials. Statistical basis for the model approbation is the results of sociological survey held in municipal units of the Chelyabinsk region in 2019, which are open to public. The main results. The paper provides a mathematical model of a complex multi-criteria evaluation of social, ecological and economic conditions and development of a territory. It has been tested on the basis of both conditions and development of the towns of the Chelyabinsk region. The results are visualized and interpreted. Conclusions. The paper proves reliability of the method. It can be used in various economic studies of territories of different administrative levels.