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Decomposition of the Structural Shocks Contribution to the Russian Macroeconomic Indicators Dynamics on the Basis of the DSGE Model
[Декомпозиция Динамики Макроэкономических Показателей Рф На Основе Dsge-Модели]

Author

Listed:
  • Drobyshevskiy, Sergei (Дробышевский, Сергей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

  • Polbin, Andrei (Полбин, Андрей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

Abstract

The paper estimates contribution of domestic and foreign fundamental factors to the dynamics of main macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation during the crisis of 2008 and in subsequent years on the basis of the developed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the Russian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Drobyshevskiy, Sergei (Дробышевский, Сергей) & Polbin, Andrei (Полбин, Андрей), 2015. "Decomposition of the Structural Shocks Contribution to the Russian Macroeconomic Indicators Dynamics on the Basis of the DSGE Model [Декомпозиция Динамики Макроэкономических Показателей Рф На Основ," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 2, pages 20-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1523
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sinelnikov-Murylev, Sergei (Синельников-Мурылев, Сергей) & Drobyshevskiy, Sergei (Дробышевский, Сергей) & Kazakova, Maria (Казакова, Мария), 2014. "Decomposition of the russian GDP growth rate in 1999-2014 [Декомпозиция Темпов Роста Ввп России В 1999—2014 Годах]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 7-37, October.
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    7. I. Pospelov., 2009. "Modeling Russian Economy in the Crisis Period," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 11.
    8. Oxana Malakhovskaya & Alexey Minabutdinov, 2014. "Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 148-180.
    9. Michael Woodford, 2011. "Simple Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, January.
    10. Idrisov, Georgiy (Идрисов, Георгий) & Kazakova, Maria (Казакова, Мария) & Polbin, Andrey (Полбин, Андрей), 2014. "The theoretical interpretation of the effect of oil prices on economic growth in modern Russia [Теоретическая Интерпретация Влияния Нефтяных Цен На Экономический Рост В Современной России]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 150-171, October.
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    12. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shulgin, A. & Shulgin, S., 2021. "Investments in the infrastructure of Siberia and the Far East. Macroeconomic analysis based on general equilibrium model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 81-114.
    2. Shulgin, A., 2017. "Two-Dimensional Monetary Policy Shocks in DSGE-Model Estimated for Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 33(1), pages 75-115.
    3. Иващенко Сергей Михайлович, 2016. "Многосекторная Модель Динамического Стохастического Общего Экономического Равновесия Российской Экономики," Vestnik of the St. Petersburg University. Series 5. Economics Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет», issue 3, pages 176-202.
    4. Zubarev, Andrey (Зубарев, Андрей) & Polbin, Andrey (Полбин, Андрей), 2017. "Scenario Analysis of the Impact of Reducing the Export Duty on Oil on the Russian Economy within the Framework of the General Equilibrium Model [Сценарный Анализ Влияния На Российскую Экономику Сни," Working Papers 051734, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    5. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE; Russian economy; crisis; oil prices; economic growth slowdown;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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