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Economic Policy Uncertainty, Bank Credit, External Demand, and Corporate Investment

Author

Listed:
  • Wentao GU

    (Institute of Quantitative Economics, Department of statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China.)

  • Xiaoyan ZHENG

    (Quantitative economics, Department of statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China.)

  • Liyan PAN

    (Quantitative economics, Department of statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China.)

  • Hengkui LI

    (Quantitative economics, Department of statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China.)

Abstract

The studies on economic policy uncertainty are growing recently, since it is an important topic in many economic research areas such as financial crisis, economic forecasting, corporate investment and so on. Using the data of Chinese listed companies from 2004 to 2013 and following the non-dynamic threshold panel model, this study investigates how economic policy uncertainty influences the corporate investment of firms with different external demands through bank credit. To our best knowledge, the research on the influence channel of the bank credit is new in the literature. The effects of economic policy uncertainty on corporate investment through bank credit are obvious, and the effects are more significant for firms with low external demand than those that have high external demand. However, this result is influenced by the varying characteristics of controlling shareholders and industries as well as the different degrees of financial development. The effects of economic policy uncertainty are also significant for state-owned firms, manufacturing firms and high financial development group with low external demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Wentao GU & Xiaoyan ZHENG & Liyan PAN & Hengkui LI, 2018. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Bank Credit, External Demand, and Corporate Investment," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 52-72, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2018:i:3:p:52-72
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhong, Huaming & Al-Duais, Zinb Abduljabbar Mohamed & Peng, Biyu, 2023. "The impact of idiosyncratic risk on corporate financialisation——Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. Tang, Kai, 2024. "The influence of managerial ability on corporate financialization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1229-1245.
    3. Zhao, Xiaomeng & Chen, Yinna & Si, Deng-Kui & Jiang, Cun-Yuan, 2024. "How does environmental legislation affect enterprise investment preferences? A quasi-natural experiment based on China's new environmental protection law," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 834-855.
    4. Feng, Yumei & Yao, Shouyu & Wang, Chunfeng & Liao, Jing & Cheng, Feiyang, 2022. "Diversification and financialization of non-financial corporations: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Qi, Yong & Yang, Yudi & Yang, Shuo & Lyu, Simeng, 2021. "Does government funding promote or inhibit the financialization of manufacturing enterprises? Evidence from listed Chinese enterprises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Zhongbo Jing & Shiyu Lu & Yang Zhao & Jun Zhou, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, corporate investment decisions and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(S1), pages 1477-1502, April.
    7. Chen, Yueyan & Xu, Jianxin & Wang, Shuyu & Xu, Sisi, 2024. "Economic environment uncertainty and financialization of real estate firms," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1104-1114.
    8. Liu, Yun & Gao, Qun, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and enterprise innovation in China: From the perspective of equity financing and financing structure," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 17-33.
    9. Gad, Mahmoud & Nikolaev, Valeri & Tahoun, Ahmed & van Lent, Laurence, 2024. "Firm-level political risk and credit markets," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2).
    10. Chong Li & Qiuge Yao & Jing Wu & Daoyuan Wang, 2019. "Financialization and Risk Taking of Non-Financial Corporations Empirical Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(3), pages 1-5.
    11. Lu, Chao & Yang, Meng & Xia, Xiaoxue, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and default risk: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 821-836.
    12. Salihi, Awaisu Adamu & Ibrahim, Haslindar & Baharudin, Dayana Mastura, 2024. "Environmental governance as a driver of green innovation capacity and firm value creation," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 3(2).
    13. Luyu Wang & Gangdong Peng & Yongwen Yang & Xiaoxiang Li, 2024. "Industrial Robot Application and Enterprise Financialization: Empirical Evidence from the Chinese Manufacturing Firm Level," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 15365-15389, September.
    14. Su, Kun & Zhao, Yan & Wang, Yinghui, 2024. "Customer concentration and corporate financialization: Evidence from non-financial firms in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Ömer YALÇINKAYA & Muhammet DAŞTAN, 2020. "Effects of Global Economic, Political and Geopolitical Uncertainties on the Turkish Economy: A SVAR Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 97-116, March.
    16. Feng, Yumei & Yu, Qiang & Nan, Xingheng & Cai, Yongbin, 2022. "Can employee stock ownership plans reduce corporate financialization? Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 140-151.
    17. Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei & Ebenezer Boateng & Zangina Isshaq & Anthony Adu-Asare Idun & Peterson Owusu Junior & Anokye M Adam, 2021. "Financial sector and economic growth amid external uncertainty shocks: Insights into emerging economies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-26, November.
    18. Chen, Haiqiang & Guo, Ye & Wen, Qiang, 2021. "For goodwill or resources? The rationale behind firms' corporate philanthropy in an environment with high economic policy uncertainty," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    19. Tan, Wenhao & Chen, Ying & Sun, Yun & Guo, Xiuyuan & Li, Ziwei, 2023. "Internal capital markets and risk-taking: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Frank Obenpong Kwabi & Emmanuel Adegbite & Ernest Ezeani & Chizindu Wonu & Henry Mumbi, 2024. "Political uncertainty and stock market liquidity, size, and transaction cost: The role of institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2030-2048, April.
    21. Deng, Changzhe & Su, Zhifang & Feng, Yufang, 2024. "Extreme climate and corporate financialization: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 306-321.
    22. Xin‐tu Lei & Qing‐yuan Xu & Cheng‐ze Jin, 2022. "Nature of property right and the motives for holding cash: Empirical evidence from Chinese listed companies," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1482-1500, July.
    23. Wentao GU & Wanting QI & Yutong WANG & Lixiang LI & Liyan PAN, 2024. "What Causes the Influence of Bank Channel towards Corporate Investment: Liquidity or Economic Policy Uncertainty?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 81-101, October.
    24. Hong Huang & Chang Liu & Yuqian He, 2023. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Executives’ Self-Interest Behaviors: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-24, January.
    25. Yang, Jinghao & Chen, Siyu, 2023. "Corporate financialization, digitalization and green innovation: A panel investigation on Chinese listed firms," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 2(3).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic policy uncertainty; credit channel; firm heterogeneity; external demand; threshold panel model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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