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Modeling The Economic Growth In Romania. The Role Of Human Capital

Author

Listed:
  • Altar, Moisa

    (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)

  • Necula, Ciprian

    (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)

  • Bobeica, Gabriel

    (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest;)

Abstract

We simulate possible growth paths assuming that the Romanian economy behaves according to the hypothesis of the Uzawa-Lucas model. By calibrating the model to the Romanian economy, we are able to forecast the evolution of the Romanian GDP and the proportion of human capital which will be used in the production of goods and services. Although the population growth rate is considered to be zero, the average real GDP growth rate is around 6% due to the human capital accumulation, which improves the quality of labor.

Suggested Citation

  • Altar, Moisa & Necula, Ciprian & Bobeica, Gabriel, 2008. "Modeling The Economic Growth In Romania. The Role Of Human Capital," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(3), pages 115-128, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:3:p:115-128
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Danut-Vasile JEMNA, 2011. "Demographic transition and economic growth in Romania," THE YEARBOOK OF THE "GH. ZANE" INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCHES, Gheorghe Zane Institute for Economic and Social Research ( from THE ROMANIAN ACADEMY, JASSY BRANCH), vol. 20(2), pages 103-112.
    2. Sieng, Lai Wei & Yussof, Ishak, 2014. "Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in Malaysia - Investigating the Long Run Nexus," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 48(1), pages 155-165.
    3. Murat CETIN & Ibrahim DOGAN, 2015. "The Impact Of Education And Health On Economic Growth: Evidence From Romania (1980-2011)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 133-147, June.
    4. Marinko Škare & Sabina Lacmanovic, 2015. "Human capital and economic growth: a review essay," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(39), pages 735-735, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    endogenous economic growth; human capital; two-sector economy; path simulation; Uzawa-Lucas model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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