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Perspectivas de inflación en Bolivia

Author

Listed:
  • Aguilar, Tirza J.

    (IISEC-UCB, Bolivia)

  • Martin, Dennis

    (Universidad Católica Boliviana "San Pablo")

Abstract

La inflación en Bolivia ha evolucionado de manera creciente a nivel interno durante el último bienio. Una primera explicación sostiene la presencia de una creciente inflación importada, sobre todo en lo que respecta a alimentos. Una segunda explicación radica en las expectativas generadas por los agentes económicos al interior del país, producto de las políticas económicas los últimos años. En este marco, el presente informe busca pronosticar el comportamiento coyuntural de la inflación mediante la aplicación de un Modelo ARIMA.

Suggested Citation

  • Aguilar, Tirza J. & Martin, Dennis, 2012. "Perspectivas de inflación en Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 18, pages 33-64, Noviembre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1202
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflación en Bolivia; inflación de alimentos y bebidas; inflación de transporte; Modelos ARIMA; Modelos VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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