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Systemic Risk and Mutual Fund

Author

Listed:
  • Ebadi, Jafar

    (Associate Professor of Economics, University of Tehran)

  • Elahi, Naser

    (Associate Professor of Economics, University of Mofid)

  • Houshmand Gohar, Saeideh

    (Ph.D. in Economics, University of Mofid)

Abstract

The main purpose of this article is to study the transmission of systemic risk from a particular mutual fund to the rest of the mutual funds in Iran Capital Market. Applying the multivariate GARCH model with the Dynamic and constant Conditional Correlation method, we examine the correlation structure of daily net return of the mutual fund portfolios during the period from March 21st, 2011 to March 21nd, 2020. We find the hypothesis of the existence of systemic risk in Iran Capital Market cannot be rejected and the results indicate that the mutual funds are subject to the systemic risk. According to the estimation results of the model, in which Delta δ is significantly positive), it is expected that the conditional correlation among mutual funds to increases following the initial shock in their return series. Also, since the significant Gama γcoefficient is less than one but very close to it, we could expect long-lasting shocks and persistent uncertainties. The study suggests some managerial solutions for developing a prudential regulation policy to prevent and control systemic risk and to mitigate its effect. Such solution necessitates the establishment of institutions crucial for capital market development, including rating agencies, asset management companies, investment adviser Institutes, and regulation and regulatory agencies as well

Suggested Citation

  • Ebadi, Jafar & Elahi, Naser & Houshmand Gohar, Saeideh, 2020. "Systemic Risk and Mutual Fund," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(2), pages 199-222, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0194
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    systemic risk; contagion; Mutual funds; Conditional Correlation models.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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