IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/qjatoe/0063.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigation the Pass-Through of Global Food Prices to Domestic Prices in Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Javdan, Ebrahim

    (Ph. D. Candidate in Agricultural Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Haghighat, Jafar

    (Professor of Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Pishbahar, Esmaeil

    (Associate Professor of Agricultural Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Mohammadrezaei, Rassul

    (Associate Professor of Agricultural Economics, University of Tabriz)

Abstract

This paper investigates whether global food price shocks have been affected consumer price index in Iran. For this purpose, we estimate the pass-through of global food price inflation to domestic consumer price index using Markov Switching Vector Auto-Regressive (MS-VAR) and Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) models and quarterly data from 1990:2 to 2015:1. With respect to the linearity test results, the MS-VAR model has better fit to data than linear VAR model. According to the information criteria statistics, the MSIAH(2)-VAR(1) specification is the chosen kind of MS-VAR model. The results show that the magnitude of global food prices pass-through to the consumer price index in the first and second regime is 0.05 and 0.35 after a year, respectively. Pass-through effect increases in second year that higher in second regime than first regime. The pass-through magnitude in first and second regime is 0.12 and 0.85 after two years, respectively. Because of substantial amount of agricultural inputs and food imports, the Iranian policymakers can limit the pass-through of global prices to domestic prices by applying the inflation targeting policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Javdan, Ebrahim & Haghighat, Jafar & Pishbahar, Esmaeil & Mohammadrezaei, Rassul, 2017. "Investigation the Pass-Through of Global Food Prices to Domestic Prices in Iran," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 3(4), pages 177-196, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0063
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ecoj.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_5806_0417c7724dc89f70dec3158176f15388.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumer price index; Global food price; Pass-through effect; Iran;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0063. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sakineh Sojoodi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fetabir.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.