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Apertura comercial, choques productivos y externalidades con ciclos espacio-tiempo en el crecimiento económico por entidad federativa en México, 1980-2018

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  • Mendoza-González, Miguel Ángel

    (Facultad de Economía de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM))

Abstract

This research analyses the relationship of trade liberalization with the conditions in which production shocks cause externalities with space-time cycles in economic growth by federal entity of Mexico. For this purpose, the methodology of STARMA models is used in economic growth by federal entity, which is explained by the behavior of the regions of influence according to the territorial neighbors of the first y second order. With simulations of the models, it is verified that multiple productive shocks cause externalities with space-time cycles in all the states. Meanwhile, individual production shocks, such as the cases of Mexico City and the State of Mexico, show that the greatest externalities are observed in second-order territorial neighbors.

Suggested Citation

  • Mendoza-González, Miguel Ángel, 2021. "Apertura comercial, choques productivos y externalidades con ciclos espacio-tiempo en el crecimiento económico por entidad federativa en México, 1980-2018," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 50, pages 105-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:invreg:0462
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade liberalization; regional economic growth; spatial externalities; space-time cycles; STARMA models; Mexico;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R32 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis

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