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Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Barguellil, Achouak

    (University of Tunis El Manar)

  • Ben-Salha, Ousama

    (Northern Border University)

  • Zmami, Mourad

    (Northern Border University)

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth. An empirical investigation based on a sample of 45 developing and emerging countries over the period of 1985~2015 is conducted using the difference and system generalized method of moments estimators. Findings suggest that the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-based measure of nominal and real exchange rate volatility has a negative impact on economic growth. Also, the effect of exchange rate volatility depends on the exchange rate regimes and financial openness, that is, volatility is more harmful when countries adopt flexible exchange rate regimes and financial openness.

Suggested Citation

  • Barguellil, Achouak & Ben-Salha, Ousama & Zmami, Mourad, 2018. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 33(2), pages 1302-1336.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0734
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nhabinde, Simeão & Heshmati, Almas, 2020. "The Extractive Industry’s impact on Economic Growth in SADC Countries," GLO Discussion Paper Series 656, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Chandan Sharma, 2019. "Exchange rate volatility and exports from India: a commodity-level panel data analysis," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 12(1), pages 23-44, June.
    3. Muhammad Akbar, 2023. "Effects of inflation uncertainty and exchange rate volatility on money demand in Pakistan: Bayesian econometric analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1470-1487, April.
    4. Taiwo-Agosu BOLARINWA & Elssy-Chidinma ANOCHIRIONYE, 2024. "Impact Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Economic Growth: 1981-2019 (Ardl Model)," APPLIED RESEARCH IN ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 5(1), pages 41-52, April.
    5. Naser Yenus Nuru & Hayelom Yrgaw Gereziher, 2021. "The impacts of public expenditure innovations on real exchange rate volatility in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-72, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Jun Wen & Muhammad Ahmad Usman, 2024. "An empirical investigation of the relationship between real exchange rate and innovation: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2991-3006, July.
    7. Joseph Paul Chunga & Ping YU, 2024. "The impact of external shocks on volatility persistence and market efficiency of the foreign exchange rate regime: evidence from Malawi," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    8. Rui Hua & Wenzhe Hu & Xiuju Zhao, 2020. "Research on RMB exchange rate forecast based on the neural network model and the Nelson–Siegel model," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 219-237, September.
    9. Tule Kpughur Moses & Oboh Ugbem Victor & Ebuh Godday Uwawunkonye & Onipede Samuel Fumilade & Gbadebo Nathaniel, 2020. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Affect Economic Growth in Nigeria?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(7), pages 1-54, July.
    10. Okosu, Napoleon David, 2022. "Assessing Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Garch Model Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 6(7), pages 152-163, July.
    11. Oseni Isiaq O. & Adekunle Ibrahim A. & Alabi Mumeen O., 2019. "Exchange rate volatility and industrial output growth in Nigeria," Journal of Economics and Management, Sciendo, vol. 38(4), pages 129-156, December.
    12. Ben-Salha Ousama & Zmami Mourad, 2020. "The impact of private capital flows on economic growth in the MENA region," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 6(3), pages 45-67, August.
    13. Achouak Barguellil, 2021. "The Asymmetric Indirect Impact of Real Exchange Rate on Economic Growth through Foreign Trade: An Asymmetric ARDL Panel Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(8), pages 658-671, August.
    14. Long Vorlak & Ignatius Abasimi & Yang Fan, 2019. "The Impacts of Exchange Rate on Economic Growth in Cambodia," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 5(2), pages 78-83.
    15. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    16. Anum Shafique & Mehmood Ul Hassan & Akmal Shahzad & Qazi Muhammad Ali & Muhammad Saqlain, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility And Its Relationship With Macroeconomic Variables In Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 11(1), pages 121-131, March.
    17. Dr. Zahid Hussain Shaikh & Ragni Lund & Dr. Niaz Hussain Ghumro, 2024. "Macroeconomic dynamics and Panel VAR -Analysis in Developing Countries," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 118-126.
    18. Helena Glebocki Keefe, 2020. "The impact of exchange rate volatility on inflation targeting monetary policy in emerging and advanced economies," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 417-433, December.
    19. Muhammed Adamu Obomeghie & David Umoru, 2024. "Devaluation, Goods Price Variation, And Gdp Growth," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, vol. 16(2 (July)), pages 273-311.
    20. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    21. Adel Benhamed & Yousif Osman & Ousama Ben-Salha & Zied Jaidi, 2023. "Unveiling the Spatial Effects of Climate Change on Economic Growth: International Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, May.
    22. Dennij Mandeij, 2020. "Determination of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Rupiah Against US Dollar and its Volatility: Application of Asset Approach," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 6(6), pages 323-336.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic Growth; Exchange Rate Volatility; Developing Countries; Financial Openness; Exchange Rate Regime;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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