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Real Exchange Rate Volatility, Economic Growth and the Euro

Author

Listed:
  • Janus, Thorsten

    (University of Wyoming)

  • Riera-Crichton, Daniel

    (Bates College)

Abstract

This paper studies the impact of real effective exchange rate volatility on economic growth as well as the euro’s impact on real effective exchange rate volatility. We first show that after a plausible endogeneity correction, real effective exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with growth in a 1980~2011 panel of the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries. A one standard deviation volatility decrease is associated with a two percentage points growth increase. Second, we find that the euro adoption was associated with a decline of 0.4 standard deviations in long-run real effective exchange rate volatility before the Great Recession in 2008~2009. Moreover, while the Great Recession increased real effective exchange rate volatility by 38~189% of the sample mean for the countries outside the eurozone, the real effective exchange rate of the euro adopters were almost completely insulated. We conclude that real effective exchange rate stability may be growth-enhancing in the OECD countries and that the euro have played a growth-enhancing role at least before the recent eurozone debt crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Janus, Thorsten & Riera-Crichton, Daniel, 2015. "Real Exchange Rate Volatility, Economic Growth and the Euro," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 30, pages 148-172.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0655
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Salman Ahmad & Elżbieta Izabela Szczepankiewicz & Dai Yonghong & Farid Ullah & Ihsan Ullah & Windham Eugene Loopesco, 2022. "Does Chinese Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Stimulate Economic Growth in Pakistan? An Application of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL Bounds) Testing Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, March.
    2. Lucke, Bernd, 2022. "Growth Effects of European Monetary Union: A Synthetic Control Approach," MPRA Paper 120662, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Mar 2024.
    3. Fatbardha Morina & Eglantina Hysa & Uğur Ergün & Mirela Panait & Marian Catalin Voica, 2020. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth: Case of the CEE Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, August.
    4. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Nenubari Ikue John & Ifeanyichukwu Lucky Amabuike & Joseph Ade Ajaba & John Akin Sodipo & Linus Bamekpari Enegesi, 2020. "Financial system, trade concentration and economic growth in West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 426-436, July.
    6. Ehigiamusoe, Kizito Uyi & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2019. "Do economic and financial integration stimulate economic growth? A critical survey," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-27.
    7. Chen Ku‐Hsieh, 2021. "Depreciate to save the economy? An empirical evidence worldwide," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1563-1585, January.
    8. Cecilia Bermúdez & Carlos Dabús, 2018. "Going under to stay on top: How much real exchange rate undervaluation is needed to boost growth in developing countries," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 45(1 Year 20), pages 5-28, June.
    9. Lucke, Bernd, 2022. "Growth Effects of European Monetary Union: A Synthetic Control Approach," MPRA Paper 115373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ebenezer Olamide & Kanayo Ogujiuba & Andrew Maredza, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Panel Data Approach for SADC," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    11. Boubellouta Bilal & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2021. "Comparing the Relationship Between Nominal and Real Effective Exchange Rates During the Last Two Devaluations in Algeria," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(6), pages 1421-1440, December.
    12. Bermúdez, Cecilia & Dabús, Carlos & Aromí, Daniel, 2022. "Uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from Latin America," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro; Great Recession; Economic Integration; Real Exchange Rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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