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Exchange Rate Volatility and Tourist Flows into Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Agiomirgianakis, George

    (Hellenic Open University)

  • Serenis, Dimitrios

    (University of Wolverhampton)

  • Tsounis, Nicholas

    (Technological Institute (TEI) of Western Macedonia)

Abstract

This paper examines the effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on tourist flows into Turkey for the period of 1994~2012. Our results show that (i) there is a negative relationship between exchange rate volatility and tourist inflows into Turkey; (ii) there is a negative impact of the relative price ratio on the tourist flows indicating that relatively expensive places deter tourist arrivals, given the keen international competition among alternative destinations; (iii) GDP per capita at tourist origin, measured in Purchasing Power Parities, exerts positive influence on tourist flows. Our findings thus, suggest some direct policy implications: first, policy makers of a tourist destination country aiming to target potential markets for their tourist products, should, in principle, avoid markets prone to exchange rate volatility due to political and social upheavals or financial instability. Moreover, countries relying heavily on their tourism industry, should avoid using exchange rate policies for other policy objectives like international price competiveness, as these policies may end up to an exchange rate volatility that could reduce its tourism inflows substantially in the longer run.

Suggested Citation

  • Agiomirgianakis, George & Serenis, Dimitrios & Tsounis, Nicholas, 2014. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Tourist Flows into Turkey," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 29, pages 700-725.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0647
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arshian Sharif, Sahar Afshan, 2016. "Tourism Development and Real Effective Exchange Rate Revisited by Wavelet based Analysis: Evidence from France," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 101-118, October.
    2. Yamaka, Woraphon & Zhang, Xuefeng & Maneejuk, Paravee & Ramos, Vicente, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of third-country exchange rate risk: A Markov switching approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    3. Agiomirgianakis, George & Serenis, Dimitrios & Tsounis, Nicholas, 2017. "Effective timing of tourism policy: The case of Singapore," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 29-38.
    4. Idoko Ahmed Itodo & Ojonugwa Usman & Michael Maju Abu, 2017. "The Asymmetric Effect in the Volatility of the South African Rand," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 3(3), pages 47-53, September.
    5. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Leiv Opstad & Randi Hammervold & Johannes Idsø, 2021. "The Influence of Income and Currency Changes on Tourist Inflow to Norwegian Campsites: The Case of Swedish and German Visitors," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-13, July.
    7. Chhorn, Theara & Chaiboonsri, Chukiat, 2017. "Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 83942, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Dec 2017.
    8. Akhil Sharma & Tarun Vashishat & Abdul Rishad, 2019. "The consequences of exchange rate trends on international tourism demand: evidence from India," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 21(2), pages 270-287, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Volatility; Tourist Flows; Turkey; ARDL Method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • L84 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Personal, Professional, and Business Services

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