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Israeli-Hezbollah War and Global Financial Crisis in the Middle East and North African Equity Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Bouri, Elie I

    (Holy Spirit University of Kaslik)

Abstract

This paper, which relies on a dynamic conditional correlation model covering eight years of daily data for twelve equity markets in the Middle East and North Africa, examines the dynamic behaviour of equity returns and the response to international and regional stress periods. We assess whether the Israeli-Hezbollah war and the global financial crisis have accentuated equity linkages and find strong evidence that, although war and financial crisis shocks caused harmful consequences in most MENA markets, there were significant benefits of regional diversification during stress periods in some MENA markets. Low equity correlations across several markets are driven by both the war and the global financial crisis, implying that there still appear to be benefits from regional diversification, especially in the times of stress when it is most needed. Our empirical results are useful for asset managers seeking to construct portfolios that can better resist adverse market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouri, Elie I, 2014. "Israeli-Hezbollah War and Global Financial Crisis in the Middle East and North African Equity Markets," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 29, pages 1-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0620
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Oluwatosin Mary Aderajo & Oladotun Daniel Olaniran, 2021. "Analysis of financial contagion in influential African stock markets," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer, 2016. "On the volatility transmission between oil and stock markets: a comparison of emerging importers and exporters," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 33(1), pages 63-82, April.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Awartani, Basel & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2016. "Crude oil prices and sectoral stock returns in Jordan around the Arab uprisings of 2010," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 205-214.
    4. Sun, Guanglin & Li, Jianfeng & Shang, Zezhong, 2022. "Return and volatility linkages between international energy markets and Chinese commodity market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    5. Bouri, Elie, 2015. "Oil volatility shocks and the stock markets of oil-importing MENA economies: A tale from the financial crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 590-598.
    6. Bouri, Elie, 2015. "A broadened causality in variance approach to assess the risk dynamics between crude oil prices and the Jordanian stock market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 271-279.
    7. Yousaf, Imran & Hassan, Arshad, 2019. "Linkages between crude oil and emerging Asian stock markets: New evidence from the Chinese stock market crash," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    8. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    9. Bouri, Elie, 2015. "Return and volatility linkages between oil prices and the Lebanese stock market in crisis periods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 365-371.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stress Periods; Dynamic Conditional Correlation; MENA Equity Markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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