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Political Instability and the August 1998 Ruble Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Fic, Tatiana

    (National Bank of Poland)

  • Saqib, Omar Farooq

    (State Bank of Pakistan)

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to highlight the importance of political instability, defined as frequent changes in and of government, in undermining the Russian exchange rate based stabilization program of the 1990s. The empirical evidence supports the significance of political instability along with economic fundamentals in determining Russian real effective exchange rate and exchange market pressure, used as a proxy to the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Fic, Tatiana & Saqib, Omar Farooq, 2006. "Political Instability and the August 1998 Ruble Crisis," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 21, pages 764-783.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0377
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klein, Michael W. & Marion, Nancy P., 1997. "Explaining the duration of exchange-rate pegs," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 387-404, December.
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    6. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    7. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November.
    8. Sule Ozler & Guido Tabellini, 1991. "External Debt and Political Instability," NBER Working Papers 3772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Safdar Ullah Khan & Omar Farooq Saqib, 2007. "An Analysis of Pakistan s Vulnerability to Economic Crisis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 46(4), pages 597-610.
    2. Safdar Ullah Khan & Omar Farooq Saqib, 2008. "An Analysis of Pakistan's Vulnerability to Crisis," SBP Working Paper Series 21, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    3. Campos, Eduardo Lima & Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2021. "Estimating debt limits for emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 836-855.
    4. Erwin Bramana Karnadi & Putu Rusta Adijaya, 2017. "Redenomination: Why is It Effective in One Country but Not in Another?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 186-195.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency crises; Economic fundamentals; Political instability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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