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The Impact of U.S. Economic Growth on the Rest of the World: How Much Does It Matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Arora, Vivek

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Vamvakidis, Athanasios

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

This paper attempts to quantify the extent to which U.S. growth is an “engine” of the world economy. Results based on fixed-effects estimation using panel data suggest a significant positive impact of U.S. growth on growth in the rest of the world, especially developing countries, in recent decades. The impact is as large as one-for-one in some specifications. The results are robust to alternative specifications and to the alternative claim that world growth in recent decades has been driven predominantly by common global shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Arora, Vivek & Vamvakidis, Athanasios, 2004. "The Impact of U.S. Economic Growth on the Rest of the World: How Much Does It Matter?," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 19, pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0263
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Marks, Joseph & Yezegel, Ari, 2018. "Do aggregate analyst recommendations predict market returns in international markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 234-254.
    2. Ana Paula Ribeiro & Vitor Carvalho & Paula Santos, 2016. "Export-Led Growth in the EU: Where and What to Export?," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 319-344, August.
    3. Syed Hassan & Sarosh Shabi & Taufiq Choudhry, 2018. "US Economic Uncertainty, EU Business Cycles and the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers 2018-05, Swansea University, School of Management.
    4. Khadan, Jeetendra & Hosein, Roger, 2014. "Trade, Economic and Welfare impacts of the CARICOM-Canada Free Trade Agreement," MPRA Paper 54836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Khadan, Jeetendra & Hosein, Roger, 2014. "Trade, Economic and Welfare impacts of the CARICOM-Canada Free Trade Agreement," MPRA Paper 54836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Gour Gobinda Goswami & Farzana Alamgir, 2018. "Does Economic Growth Spillover More from the Eastern than the Western Countries? Evidence from Bangladesh’s Four Decades of Growth Experience," South Asian Survey, , vol. 25(1-2), pages 59-83, March.
    7. Yuan, Shenguo & Wu, Zhouheng, 2021. "Financial openness and Chinese regional growth imbalance: New insight from spatial spillovers," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    8. Das, Gouranga Gopal, 2015. "Why some countries are slow in acquiring new technologies? A model of trade-led diffusion and absorption," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 65-91.
    9. Yaser Abolghasemi & Stanko Dimitrov, 2021. "Determining the causality between U.S. presidential prediction markets and global financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4534-4556, July.
    10. César Calderón & Norman V. Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2008. "Does Openness Imply Greater Vulnerability?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 485, Central Bank of Chile.
    11. Vivek Arora & Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2010. "South Africa in the African Economy," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 2(2), pages 153-171, May.
    12. Adrino Mazenda & Tyanai Masiya & Norman Nhede, 2018. "South Africa-BRIC-SADC Trade Alliances and the South African Economy," International Studies, , vol. 55(1), pages 61-74, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Economic integration;

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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