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International Trade and the Risk Premium in the Currency Forward Market

Author

Listed:
  • Eckwert, Bernhard

    (University of Chemnitz)

  • Broll, Udo

    (University of Konstanz)

Abstract

In this paper we present an intertemporal model of the spot and forward markets for foreign exchange. We analyze the implications of central bank interventions on the spot market for the risk premium in the currency forward market and discuss the consequences for the allocation of exchange rate risk and for the volume of international trade. As a main result we find that exchange rate volatility does not generate systematic risk and hence does not adversely affect international trade as long as the monetary authorities do not exogenously intervene in the foreign exchange spot market.

Suggested Citation

  • Eckwert, Bernhard & Broll, Udo, 1998. "International Trade and the Risk Premium in the Currency Forward Market," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 13, pages 662-672.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0093
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    Cited by:

    1. Broll, Udo & Eckwert, Bernhard, 2003. "Transparency in the foreign exchange market and the volume of international trade," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 14/03, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Trade; the Risk Premium;

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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