IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/ecoint/0216.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does Any Long-Run Relation Exist Between the Terms of Trade and the Trade Balance?

Author

Listed:

Abstract

In this paper we use the Johansen and Juselius cointegration technique t examine the long-run convergenCe between the trade balance and the terms o trade, using quarterly data from Sweden. The results show that the trade balance and the terms of trade are cointegrated in the long run and the trade balance is positively correlated with the terms of trade. This implies that productivity gap between the domestic economy and the rest of the world, implying technological shock to the domestic economy, affects the trade balance. The policy implication of our findings is that the use of the origina1 Marsha Lerner condition is no longer sufficient as a justification for currency depreciation and the condition may be excessively conservative when the pricing to market phenomenon is important in explaining the evolution of the external trade balance.

Suggested Citation

  • Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Irandoust, Manucherhr, 2001. "Does Any Long-Run Relation Exist Between the Terms of Trade and the Trade Balance?," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 54(2), pages 177-185.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0216
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Terms of trade; trade balance; cointegration Johansen’s VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0216. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Angela Procopio (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cacogit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.