IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/eaerev/0097.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Output Volatility and Growth in Korea, China and Japan

Author

Listed:
  • Lee, Jong Ha

    (Korea University)

  • Hwang, Jinyoung

    (Hannam University)

Abstract

The existing literature has shown that the relationship between output volatility and growth depends on data and/or estimation methods. In this paper, an empirical examination is made of the link between output volatility and growth in Korea, China and Japan, using monthly data on the index of industrial product from 1990 to 2009. Specifically, a country's growth and output volatility are measured by the ratio of change in industrial product and its conditional standard error, respectively. Using EGARCH-M model, provided by Nelson (1991), to accommodate the asymmetry of economic fluctuation, estimates indicates that output volatility is negatively and significantly associated with the growth in Korea. However, the relationship between output volatility and growth is positive and statically significant in China, whereas there exists very little evidence in Japan. Moreover, unexpected positive shocks have positive impacts on growth in Korea and China, whereas the impacts are very small in Japan. Regression results also suggest that the impacts of unexpected negative shocks on growth are negative in all countries, and the magnitude is the biggest in Korea and the lowest in Japan.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Jong Ha & Hwang, Jinyoung, 2011. "Output Volatility and Growth in Korea, China and Japan," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 15(1), pages 87-111, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:eaerev:0097
    DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2011.15.1.227
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2011.15.1.227
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2011.15.1.227?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Khan, Naqib Ullah & Zhongyi, Peng & Ullah, Asad & Mumtaz, Muhammad, 2024. "A comprehensive evaluation of sustainable mineral resources governance in Pakistan: An analysis of challenges and reforms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Output Volatility; Growth; KoreaㆍChinaㆍJapan; EGARCH-M Model; Industrial Product Index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O42 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:eaerev:0097. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: JE Lee (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/kieppkr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.