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Analisis Environmental Kuznets Curve pada PDRB Sektoral terhadap Emisi Gas Rumah Kaca di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 1990-2022

Author

Listed:
  • Insani, Naafia Fatiha Nur

    (Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang, Indonesia)

  • Robertus, Mulyo Hendarto

    (Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang, Indonesia)

Abstract

East Java has the highest GDP value in the tertiary sector. According to the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), economic growth in the tertiary sector should lead to improvements in environmental quality. However, the high value of greenhouse gas emissions indicates a decline in environmental quality. This research aims to analyze the EKC for the primary sector GDP, secondary sector GDP, and tertiary sector GDP in relation to greenhouse gas emissions. The time series data from 1990 to 2022 were sourced from the Badan Pusat Statistik and the Ministry of Environment and Forestry. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method was used. The results showed that the primary sector GDP and tertiary sector GDP had a positive and significant effect on greenhouse gas emissions. The secondary sector GDP had a negative and significant effect on greenhouse gas emissions. Overall, the effect was significant. The primary sector GDP and secondary sector GDP aligned with the EKC, while the tertiary sector GDP contradicted it. The inverted U-shape of the EKC did not occur. Despite the high contribution of the tertiary sector, there was a decline in environmental quality. Policy recommendations include maintaining environmental quality, particularly in relation to greenhouse gas emissions, in both the primary and tertiary sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Insani, Naafia Fatiha Nur & Robertus, Mulyo Hendarto, 2024. "Analisis Environmental Kuznets Curve pada PDRB Sektoral terhadap Emisi Gas Rumah Kaca di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 1990-2022," Diponegoro Journal of Economics (DJOE), Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Diponegoro, vol. 13(3), pages 9-21, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:dipjoe:5139
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC); Sectoral GDP; Greenhouse Gas; Ordinary Least Square (OLS);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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