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The Analysis for the Impacts of Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Trade for Turkish Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Ayhan, Fatih

    (Bandirma Onyedi Eylul University)

Abstract

Foreign trade volume is significantly affected by different macroeconomic factors. The change in the exchange rate also has a significant effect on foreign trade decisions such as other macro factors. In this study, the effect of exchange rate volatility on foreign trade is examined both theoretical and empirically. The industrial production index, exports, imports and the real exchange rate monthly data are used for January 2005 and February 2014 for Turkey's economy used. The ARDL model was used in this paper and according to findings; while foreign country income level has a positive impact on both short and long term, exchange rate volatility and real exchange rate negatively affect exports both in the short and long term. At the same time, industrial production and real exchange rate positively affect the imports of Turkey in both short and long term, while exchange rate volatility negatively affects the imports for Turkey.

Suggested Citation

  • Ayhan, Fatih, 2019. "The Analysis for the Impacts of Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Trade for Turkish Economy," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 10(3), pages 629-647, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0412
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Burak Darici & Ahmet Aydin & Fatih Ayhan & Merve Altaylar, 2023. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Tourism Demand Toward Emerging Markets," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-2), pages 837-864, December.
    2. Özge Barış-Tüzemen & Samet Tüzemen, 2021. "Revisiting The Role Of Exchange Rate Volatility In Turkey’S Exports: Evidence From The Structural Var Approach," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 66(231), pages 127-150, October –.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Volatility; Foreign Trade; Export; Import; Real Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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