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The Analysis of the Long-Run Relationship Between Oil Consumption and Real GDP in Turkey Through Johansen Co-Integration Method

Author

Listed:
  • Ceylan, Reşat

    (Pamukkale University)

  • Başer, Seda

    (Pamukkale University)

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to examine whether there is a long run relationship between oil consumption and real GDP in Turkey during the period 1965-2011 or not. If there is any relationship between these variables, to determine the direction of this relationship. For this purpose, the Johansen-Juselius Co-integration Method (1990) is used together with the Error Correction Model. According to the findings, there is one co-integration relationship between the series. Error correction mechanism works and the direction of the relationship is from oil consumption to real GDP. This result is important as of it demonstrates that Turkey has been depended to energy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ceylan, Reşat & Başer, Seda, 2014. "The Analysis of the Long-Run Relationship Between Oil Consumption and Real GDP in Turkey Through Johansen Co-Integration Method," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 5(2), pages 47-60, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0150
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    Cited by:

    1. Özgür Özaydın* & H. Alper Güzel, 2019. "Oil Consumption and Economic Growth in Turkey: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach in the Presence of Structural Breaks," Business, Management and Economics Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 5(6), pages 77-85, 06-2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-integration; economic growth; oil consumption; error correction model; Turkish Economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • P28 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Natural Resources; Environment
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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