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Testing the Existence of Purchasing Power Parity in Bilateral Trade between Bangladesh and India

Author

Listed:
  • ISLAM, SIRAJUL

    (Lecturer in Economics, Department of Economics,)

Abstract

The paper uses the data of exchange rate and ratio of GDP deflators of Bangladesh and India covering the period 1971-2011 to justify the presence of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) between the two countries. Unit roots test has been used to confirm the stationarity of the data. Cointegration test is used to verify the existence of a long-run relationship between exchange rate and the relative cost of bundles. While these two variables are not observed to be in equilibrium in the long run, Granger causality test finds no causal relationship between the two. This disequilibrium is further escalated due to the imposition of trade restrictions or other conditions affecting the bilateral trade relationship. These obstacles need to be addressed in order to ensure the stability of the exchange rate and maintain favourable trade relationship based on PPP.

Suggested Citation

  • Islam, Sirajul, 2013. "Testing the Existence of Purchasing Power Parity in Bilateral Trade between Bangladesh and India," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 36(1), pages 121-132, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:badest:0553
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    2. Ibrahim Chowdhury, 2004. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear Analysis," Working Paper Series in Economics 14, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    3. Ahmed, M., 2005. "Purchasing Power Parity Based on Capital Account, Exchange Rate Volatility and Cointegration: Evidence from Some Developing Countries," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(3).
    4. Shabbir Ahmad & Abdul Rashid, 2008. "Non-linear PPP in South Asia and China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(17), pages 1-6.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Purchasing Power Parity; The Cost of Domestic Bas kets; The Cost of Foreign Baskets; Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C87 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Econometric Software
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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