IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/badest/0343.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Medium and Long-Term Projections of Foodgrain Demand, Supply and Trade Balance in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Shahabuddin , Quazi

    (Research Director, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS))

  • Zohir, Sajjad

    (Senior Research Fellow, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS))

Abstract

The shape of development in the medium to long-term is most likely to be influenced in a significant way by the dynamics of foodgrain demand-supply balance in the country. A consistent framework for projection of medium and long-term demand and supply of foodgrains in Bangladesh has, therefore, been developed in this paper. The analysis involves a prospective view of future demand for rice and wheat, and the growth of foodgrain production, particularly rice under increasing resource constraints. Alternative projections of foodgrain supply, demand and trade balance in year 2000 and beyond (upto year 2020) are presented in the paper. The exercise demonstrates that Bangladesh is expected to produce, under favourable conditions, enough rice to meet domestic demand, but would be unable to export regular varieties of rice due to its inability to generate surplus at a internationally competitive price. The prospect of export of aromatic varieties of rice, however, seems quite encouraging. Import of wheat (ranging between about one million ton in 2000 to about two million tons in 2020) will need to continue. The policy implications of alternative projection scenario have been spelt out in the paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahabuddin , Quazi & Zohir, Sajjad, 1995. "Medium and Long-Term Projections of Foodgrain Demand, Supply and Trade Balance in Bangladesh," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 23(3-4), pages 21-45, Sept-Dec.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:badest:0343
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hossain, Monzur & Yunus, Mohammad, 2016. "Estimates of Per Capita Consumption of Food Grains in Bangladesh," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 39(1-2), pages 103-116, March-Jun.
    2. Ahmed, Nazneen & Bakht, Zaid & Dorosh, Paul A. & Shahabuddin, Quazi, 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Bangladesh," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper Series 48481, World Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rice; Income elasticity of demand; Supply and demand; Imports; Agricultural prices; Irrigation canals; Market prices; Balance of trade; Domestic prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:badest:0343. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Meftaur Rahman, Cheif Publication Officer, BIDS (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bidssbd.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.