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Urban Unemployment Duration Analysis in Post-Reform China

Author

Listed:
  • Mukherjee, Soumyatanu

    (XLRI - Xavier School of Management Delhi-NCR, India and XLRI - Xavier School of Management Jamshedpur)

  • Roy, Soumya

    (Indian Institute of Management Kozhikode)

Abstract

We link China’s accession to the WTO with the unemployment duration of urban jobseekers. Using data from the Rural Urban Migration in China (RUMiC) of a survey conducted in early 2008, we construct an inflow sample of those who started a period of joblessness between January 2002 and December 2007 to estimate the unemployment duration for local urban jobseekers. Deploying the Cox Proportional Hazards and Accelerated Failure Time models, we find reduced trade policy uncertainty significantly shortens unemployment duration, with hazard-rate varying across internal in-migrants and urban natives, due to variations in job accessibility and reservation wages.

Suggested Citation

  • Mukherjee, Soumyatanu & Roy, Soumya, 2024. "Urban Unemployment Duration Analysis in Post-Reform China," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 27(1), pages 302-325, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ambsrv:0105
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    File URL: https://digitalcommons.newhaven.edu/americanbusinessreview/vol27/iss1/11/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unemployment Duration; Trade Policy Uncertainty; Hukou; Survival Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics

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