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Les fonctions de vote : un survol de la littérature

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  • Auberger, Antoine

    (LAEP)

Abstract

The aim of this article is to present vote functions and voter behavior. Using vote functions, one can explain and forecast the outcomes of elections. In the United States, the outcomes for the past presidential elections are usually well explained and the forecasts are quite satisfactory. In France, the very small number of presidential elections makes the specification of vote functions more difficult, and the forecasts are more dubious. L’objet de cet article est de présenter les fonctions de vote et le comportement des électeurs. Les fonctions de vote visent à la fois à expliquer les résultats des élections et à les prévoir. Aux États-Unis, les fonctions de vote pour les élections présidentielles permettent généralement de bien expliquer les résultats des élections passées et les prévisions des résultats des élections sont assez satisfaisantes. En France, le très faible nombre d’élections présidentielles rend plus délicate la construction de fonctions de vote et les prévisions sont plus incertaines.

Suggested Citation

  • Auberger, Antoine, 2004. "Les fonctions de vote : un survol de la littérature," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 80(1), pages 95-107, Mars.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:v:80:y:2004:i:1:p:95-107
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    Cited by:

    1. Éric Dubois, 2007. "Les déterminants économiques du vote 1976-2006 : trente ans de fonctions de vote en France," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 117(2), pages 243-270.
    2. Arzheimer, Kai & Evans, Jocelyn, 2010. "Bread and butter à la française: Multiparty forecasts of the French legislative vote (1981-2007)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 19-31, January.
    3. Antoine Auberger, 2021. "Vote, popularity, unemployment and French presidential elections [Vote, popularité, chômage et élections présidentielles françaises]," Working Papers hal-03480855, HAL.
    4. Aurélie Cassette & Etienne Farvaque & Jérôme Héricourt, 2013. "Two-round elections, one-round determinants? Evidence from the French municipal elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 156(3), pages 563-591, September.

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