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Effect of Production Costs on the Price per Ton of Sugarcane: The Case of Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Cristina de Oliveira
  • Fernando Rodrigues de Amorim
  • Cássio Ceron Barbosa
  • Alequexandre Galvez de Andrade
  • Federico Del Giorgio Solfa

Abstract

The costs of agricultural inputs added to those of labor represent almost a third of the total cost of Brazilian sugarcane production. This study analyzes the behavior of the price per ton of sugarcane in Brazil, relating it to the main production costs of this cultivation. Twelve price indicators from January 2015 to November 2020 were evaluated. First, the data were adjusted to a multiple linear regression model to identify the significant variables on variation in the price per ton of sugarcane. Then, the Monte Carlo simulation was used to measure the level of certainty of occurrence of these variables, and forecasts were obtained from the adjustment of ARIMA models. The results showed the influence of the costs of diesel oil, two agricultural pesticides, and daily laborers on the price of sugarcane, besides an increasing trend of its, providing relevant short-term projections for decision-making about investments in the agribusiness sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Cristina de Oliveira & Fernando Rodrigues de Amorim & Cássio Ceron Barbosa & Alequexandre Galvez de Andrade & Federico Del Giorgio Solfa, 2022. "Effect of Production Costs on the Price per Ton of Sugarcane: The Case of Brazil," International Journal of Social Science Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 10(6), pages 1527-1527, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfa:journl:v:10:y:2022:i:6:p:1527
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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