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Determinantes del tipo de cambio real en Colombia. Un modelo neokeynesiano

Author

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  • Álvaro Moreno

    (Universidad Externado de Colombia)

Abstract

This article presents a model of real exchange rate using a neokeynesian approach, which is estimated with econometric methods of the English school. The empirical model is dynamic and respects the restrictions of the long run equilibrium between real exchange rate and macroeconomic fundamentals. It shows that the amount of appreciation and depreciation of the real exchange rate is determined by changes in terms of trade, openness of the economy, capital flows and acceleration of nominal devaluation. Public spending increases are not significant of the conventional levels of statistic confidence. Finally, the article evaluates if devaluation meets the requirements of weak, strong and super exogenity.

Suggested Citation

  • Álvaro Moreno, 2002. "Determinantes del tipo de cambio real en Colombia. Un modelo neokeynesiano," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 4(7), pages 40-61, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:4:y:2002:i:7:p:40-61
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    File URL: http://www.uexternado.edu.co/facecono/ecoinstitucional/workingpapers/amoreno7.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Helmuth Yesid Arias Gomez & Gabriela Antošova, 2023. "Impact of Lockdown Measures on Central-East European Stock Markets: A Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis of Indices," Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research, Pro Global Science Association, vol. 26(1), pages 05-16, December.
    2. Luis Alejandro Lee P & Angélica María Quiroga E., 2010. "Descomposición histórica de choques del tipo de cambio real en Colombia: un enfoque DSGE," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-41, June.
    3. Helmuth Árias Gómez, 2003. "Un ejercicio teórico y empírico acerca de la demanda de dinero," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, December.
    4. Alfredo Bateman y Javier E. Martinez & Javier Esteban Martinez, 2010. "Cuaderno 4: Análisis de las fuentes de oferta y demanda en el mercado de divisas," Cuadernos de Desarrollo Económico 7586, Secretaría Distrital de Desarrollo Económico.
    5. Alonso Cifuentes, Julio César & Jaramillo Flechas, Luis Eduardo, 2019. "Descomponiendo el Efecto del Gasto Público en la Tasa de Cambio Real: Una Aproximación al Caso Colombiano || Decomposing the Effect of Public Spending on the Real Exchange Rate: An Approximation to th," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 27(1), pages 91-114, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    real exchange rate; tradable goods; non-tradable goods; fundamentals; devaluation; equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General

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