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Los dos "pecados originales" de los gobiernos progresistas de Argentina y Brasil

Author

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  • Pierre Salama

Abstract

Durante las presidencias de Néstor Kirchner (2003-2007) y Cristina Kirchner (2007-2015) en Argentina, y de Lula (2003-2011) y Dilma Roussef (2011-2016) en Brasil, ambos países mostraron tasas de crecimiento relativamente altas, los salarios reales aumentaron y la pobreza disminuyó. En Argentina, la dinámica económica se frenó en 2012 y Brasil entró en una crisis profunda en 2014. Estos fracasos se pueden explicar por dos “pecados originales”: el relajamiento de la restricción externa en Argentina y Brasil y la financiarización en Brasil. El primero generó una apreciación real de la moneda nacional frente al dólar no compensada por un aumento de la productividad del trabajo. El segundo se manifestó en un detrimento de la inversión industrial. Aunque estos efectos se habrían podido controlar su costo ha sido muy alto.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre Salama, 2019. "Los dos "pecados originales" de los gobiernos progresistas de Argentina y Brasil," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 21(40), pages 207-232, January-J.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:21:y:2019:i:40:p:207-232
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crecimiento económico; restricción externa; devaluación; financiarización;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • N16 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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