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Saldos da balança corrente ajustados do ciclo em Portugal

Author

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  • João Amador
  • João Falcão Silva

Abstract

Este artigo baseia-se na metodologia sugerida por Fabiani et al. (2016) para calcular o saldo da balança corrente ajustada do ciclo económico para a economia portugesa no período 1995-2017. A metodologia utiliza os hiatos do produto domésticos e externos, elasticidades de exportações e o conteúdo importado da procura interna, distinguindo entre exportações e importações ajustadas do ciclo económico. Adicionalmente, calcula-se o ajustamento cíclico para as exportações e importações bilaterais face aos principais parceiros comerciais de Portugal. Concluímos que o forte ajustamento registado no saldo da balança corrente Portuguesa após 2010 teve uma natureza eminentemente estrutural, embora também tenha existido um efeito positivo resultante dos desenvolvimentos cíclicos.

Suggested Citation

  • João Amador & João Falcão Silva, . "Saldos da balança corrente ajustados do ciclo em Portugal," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:ptu:bdpart:r201902
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