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Co-movimento em revisões de expetativas de inflação de curto e longo prazo

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  • António R. Antunes

Abstract

Este artigo estuda o co-movimento entre revisões extremas diárias das expetativas de inflação de curto e de longo prazo por meio de cópulas. Os principais resultados são: em primeiro lugar, o co-movimento de revisões invulgares nas expetativas de inflação de curto e de longo prazo aumentou significativamente a partir de meados de 2012, o que implica que as expetativas de inflação de longo prazo podem não estar, num sentido preciso, bem ancoradas. Em segundo lugar, este co-movimento é uma medida exibindo bastante ruído. Finalmente, os resultados apresentados não são um artifício da metodologia ou dos dados específicos usados na análise.

Suggested Citation

  • António R. Antunes, . "Co-movimento em revisões de expetativas de inflação de curto e longo prazo," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:ptu:bdpart:r201501
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