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Fiscal adjustments in Europe and Ricardian equivalence

Author

Listed:
  • V. DE BONIS

    (Universita' degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza")

  • R. PALADINI

    (Universita' degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza")

Abstract

According to the ‘Ricardian’ equivalence hypothesis, consumption is dependent on permanent disposable income and current deficits are equivalent to future tax payments. This hypothesis is tested on 14 European countries in the 1990s. The relationships between private sector savings and general government deficit, and the GDP growth rate and the unemployment rate are determined. The results show the change in consumers' behaviour with respect to government deficit, and that expectations of an increase in future wealth are no longer associated with a decrease in deficit.

Suggested Citation

  • V. De Bonis & R. Paladini, 1998. "Fiscal adjustments in Europe and Ricardian equivalence," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 51(206), pages 247-272.
    • Handle: RePEc:psl:bnlaqr:1998:32
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    File URL: http://ojs.uniroma1.it/index.php/PSLQuarterlyReview/article/view/10598/10482
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hall, Robert E, 1978. "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(6), pages 971-987, December.
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    5. Francesco Giavazzi & Marco Pagano, 1995. "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes: International Evidence and the Swedish Experience," NBER Working Papers 5332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    7. Sutherland, Alan, 1997. "Fiscal crises and aggregate demand: can high public debt reverse the effects of fiscal policy?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 147-162, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mourao, Paulo & Rodrigues, Carlos, 2007. "Abordagens da despesa pública nos últimos vinte anos [Twenty years of Perspectives on Public Expenditures]," MPRA Paper 3416, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ant�nio Afonso, 2010. "Expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe: new evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 105-109, January.
    3. António Afonso, 2007. "Expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe: part of conventional wisdom?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 50, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Europe; Economic aspects;

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts

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